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One day before the closure of the alliances, President Mauricio Macri announced his partner from formula, who will be nothing less than Michelangelo Pichetto , a Peronist with recognized political trajectory. For the “ black palate nucleus” of change this represents a transcendental turn. Having Peronism in power once again exercising vice-presidency implies the death of the ideal of “new politics” as the framework within which one can govern from “non-politics”. If there is re-election it will be a government that will seek to close political agreements to implement its measures. Goodbye to “magical realism,” and welcome to the pragmatic application of power as a concept for governing the country.
And it is precisely this that was read positively. “ Cambiemos” not only seeks the re-election of the president, but seeks to consolidate itself as a space that has political projection beyond the next presidency.
Markets were the first to issue signs of satisfaction. They see in Pichetto someone aligned with a right-wing speech that also adds negotiating capacity in the congress , something necessary to implement structural reforms that considered essential. They understand that Pichetto's election is based on the idea of governance for a second term and are excited to have the best of two worlds, a government that has real power (Peronism) to take measures that were postponed (macrisist liberal reform).
However, in the election , the move is not so clear. While it can indirectly help stabilize economic volatility and consolidate liberal expectations for a second term, in practice Pichetto does not force any representative peronist space at the polls, but it could drive away more conservative voters. On the other hand, the nomination of Pichetto cannot be understood without the previous announcement of Alberto and Cristina's formula that reconfigured the political spaces adding the support of the governors Peronists . There he must make his contribution today's candidate for vice, trying to attract the Peronists who do not feel identified with the formula of Alberto and Cristina.
The hard task of explaining that a government he always criticized now represents the real alternative for the country, something overcoming than a party alternative. In that regard, I was able to rely on facts of current management and show that the provinces received more federal funds and that most have surplus accounts , in addition to guaranteeing governors an interlocutor in a second term. It will be difficult to convince governors to support a government that is obliged by its financial needs to advance a liberal agenda underpinned by labor, tax and pension reform.
With regard to the need to regain the initiative on the political agenda, the government formula is a well-thought-out move taking into account the current situation, but it can be counterproductive if it lays the basis for electorally speculation. Governors could well close their incorporation into Alberto Fernández's space with whom direct participation and programmatic affinity of his future government could be guaranteed . Alberto does not carry on continuity commitments and is therefore not conditioned to negotiate in the event of winning the elections. Peronism now knows he can play winner because in case Macri wins they can sit down and negotiate from the congress.
Argentina 's current economic and political situation should call for caution , but that does not win elections and what matters today for the government is generating positive expectations about the future. What today generates illusion is actually a sign of weakness that tomorrow can generate disappointment because Pichetto's true usefulness as vice president will depend that Peronism does not make him a power vacuum and leave him without the attribute by which he was called. But there will be time to deal with reality from December if Pichetto fails to generate the expected influence and ends up transforming into “Michetto”.
Publication Date: 16/06/2019
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